The word “rumour” is derived from the Latin rumorem or ‘noise’ and is information often passed on from person to person related to an object, event, or issue of public concern. In today’s age of rampant social media and instant communication, this fuels the speed of coverage and the power of rumours. In the social… Read More from Does Rumour Equal Intelligence? (RumINT)
Perfumed Analysis – Teamwork in the Intelligence World
One of the myths about Intelligence analysis is that it is best done by lone geeks who labour away in darkened rooms. The truth, much more excitingly, is that huge leaps in analytical understanding often take places at a collision between two different sorts of expertise. Last week I came across an excellent example when… Read More from Perfumed Analysis – Teamwork in the Intelligence World
The Bank of England and the Analysis Process
How history repeats itself – republished from the IMSL library of 2 November 2012: Earlier today the Bank of England published three reviews into its recent performance. They contain some interesting insight into how and why analysis sometimes goes awry. Here are some highlights, along with commentary. It’s a riveting read. Honest it is. “Policy… Read More from The Bank of England and the Analysis Process
What if? Analysis – The Route to Proactive Intelligence
To be honest, I have never used What If? analysis. It’s in the books, but like so many other lesser known analytical tools, it seldom sees the light of day. The technique requires the analyst to assume a less likely hypothesis has occurred and to work backwards from that point to imagine how it could… Read More from What if? Analysis – The Route to Proactive Intelligence