Driving back from a meeting today, I was listening to the radio and the fascinating subject under discussion was ravens, including one actually talking. No kidding. But there was also a link to the world of intelligence. One aspect of the story was intriguing in particular and that is the role of two ravens in… Read More from Odin’s Ravens and Intelligence
Avoiding Cognitive Biases in Intelligence Analysis
I read an excellent historic article in “Nature” about the way in which scientists fall foul of cognitive biases in the analysis of their scientific data. This matter has an exact read-across into intelligence analysis where the same cognitive biases of course apply. The article provided some key techniques for countering these cognitive biases, which… Read More from Avoiding Cognitive Biases in Intelligence Analysis
Analyst Beware! The Perils of OSINT
Back in 1947 Allen Dulles said that 80% of intelligence questions could be answered from open sources. As Dulles later became the Director of the CIA it is a given that he had more than a passing knowledge of intelligence. The open sources he was talking about were primarily foreign newspaper reports and radio broadcasts…. Read More from Analyst Beware! The Perils of OSINT